In spite of the crap weather Father’s Day was particularly enjoyable. Dock installation was complete. The weather was damp and misty but did not rain–for most of the day. I had wonderful conversations with Samuel from Miami and Joshua from Fort Gordon, GA, Judy cooked me breakfast, and Nathan led me through a Deck of Cards Workout. The Workout’s rules are simple. Shuffle a deck of playing cards, place it face down, turn over the top card, and perform either the displayed number of pushups(for black cards) or situps (for red cards). If the top card is the 7 of spades you do 7 pushups. If the next card is the jack of clubs you do 11 pushups. If the ace of hearts follows you do 14 situps. And so on, until you’ve run through the entire deck. You math majors will have calculated this workout requires completing 208 situps and 208 pushups. I switched from standard (on toes) to modified (on knees with calves raised and ankles crossed) pushups and varied the style of situp, but Nathan did, too. I was pleased to complete all 416 reps. Once you reach a certain age if you aren’t pushing your physical limits then you are losing gound. There is no equilibrium.
It may nothing more than that I’m a lawyer who believes Words Matter, but calling the bill pending before Congress to purchase mortgage-backed assets a bailout provides more heat than light. Other than investment bankers and others clutching on to their jobs before they sink beneath the foam few people want to bail out Wall Street as an end in itself, which is what the term suggests the bill is for. Many of those railing against its passage–40 opposed for every 1 in favor in this poll, 100 to 1 against in that Congressman’s constituent messages–think “Wall Street got us into this mess, so why should we taxpayers bail them out?”
Here’s why: if this (take your pick) credit market relief/toxic asset superfund bill doesn’t pass then the credit conflagration will be apocaplyptic. There will be no credit to buy new factory equipment or purchase inventory, no money to refinance mortgages, no credit at all. Wachovia Bank is the latest victim, acquired by Citigroup today for ten cents on every dollar of Friday’s closing price. Removing these toxic assets from balance sheets puts more money into the system and should ease fears of further bank collapses and help open credit flows. It won’t solve our economic problems, but if it does not pass soon our economic problems will be far worse.
In a prior life I did workouts of non-performing loans. One lesson I learned early is don’t take the borrower’s default personally. Sometimes the borrowers were fraudsters and some of them went to jail, but I learned not to treat defaults as teachable moments for the borrower’s moral edification. Our fund’s financial interest was in cutting our losses, getting our money out, and putting it to work again as soon as possible. Sometimes that meant holding my nose and letting a defaulted borrower leave the table with some money in his pocket. Distasteful, but if it meant we got our money back today instead of after months of legal fees and delay, it was the best decision financially. I didn’t believe I served my client’s interest through punishment, and my client didn’t think so either. This financial relief bill involves much more complicated issues but it is still a workout. A massive, critical, desperately essential workout.
I understand why Main Street wants to punish Wall Street (a binary distinction that obscures more about the nature of our financial problems than it reveals) but this week is not the time for head-hunting. In Friday’s debate both Obama and McCain missed opportunities to educate and persuade why federal relief is essential. Passing this bill is probably not enough to calm the markets, but it’s the first step.